FxWirePro

Time for diagonal straps to hedge GBP/AUD’s puzzling

FX:GBPAUD   British Pound/Australian Dollar
188 2 3
After going through our last article, we would like you to understand mystification of these puzzling swings. If you compare the prevailing price of GBPAUD             (spot FX 2.0995) with the price on 5th October (2.1571) one would not be interested in current upswings.

But there exists the genuine perplexing scenario, isn't this absurd to expect to continues uptrend for last two and half years? (see monthly), as a result we think 23.6% retracement was reasonable from the peaks of 2.2370).

Currently, it looks like the uptrend is back again, which in turn these price gains could be deemed as recovery swings.

Hedging Perspectives: Option straps ( GBPAUD             )

Well, it's now the stage of treating the disease after diagnosing.

Subsequently, those who deploy this strategy so as to hedge FX portfolios from ongoing bullish trend and any abrupt slumps as well, can concentrate in their core business areas, and leave mitigating the potential FX risk to us.

For now, the pair has pretty much responded as per earlier bearish anticipation and no hesitation in foreseeing price bounces in near term again as the daily chart suggest some buying interest with least risky scenarios that would result in some price recoveries.

As a result, we recommend building portfolio with longs positions in 2 lots of 0.50 delta ATM calls with 1M expiry and there onwards 1 lot of -0.49 delta ATM puts of 15 expiries. (For demonstrated purpose only we've used identical expiries in the diagram).

Hence, this GBPAUD             option strips strategy should take care of any abrupt upswings in short term and certain downswings and yields handsome returns on the downside in long term.

One can observe in the diagram rising delta effects upon rising exchange rate GBPAUD             and shrinking as the underlying spot rate dips which means our underlying outrights are fairly hedged against irrespective of rate scenarios.

Delta of far OTM options is very small which is why we've chosen ATM instrument on call. 1-point movement in underling pair will not have much effect on the option premium.

For diagrammatic representation and options greek nutshell, please follow below link:

http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-Time-for-diagonal-straps-to-hedge-GBP-AUDs-puzzling-swings-130065
tone
a year ago
Hi ,theres no dark cloud on the monthly ?
Reply
FxWirePro tone
a year ago
nope, there is a resembling bearish engulfing.
Reply
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