Sure, I know. That's fine. :-)
I'm happy for you. Your initial scenario is excellent and it develops just as you laid it out. What I'm trying to say is that price will probably follow your pink arrow rather than the red one.
That's OK. Anyway, I wouldn't trade this pair of my own accord: too much contradicting information. The pound seems to be weak and overbought but has been strengthening of late. Not a clear picture for me.