Good reasons to stay Short on this Pair

Long term perspective (Look for targets on Weekly-Monthly, 150 area support is a good first target)
Explanation on chart
(Please Note horizontal lines should be viewed as zones! Price does not need to reach the trend line nor horizontal line to be confirmed. Drop down to smaller time frames and look for a CTL break)

Comment:

An example of how I may find an entry point on lower time frame.