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tradewonk
Oct 17, 2017 3:40 PM

GBPJPY Long

British Pound/Japanese YenFXCM

Description

Very strong fresh demand zone ahead, possible reverse, long opportunity.

Stuff to remember:

— First look for significant move, then follow it to its origins where you might find a suitable level to evaluate further

— Make sure the initial move is significant on the same timeframe as the one you use for viewing your candidate level most clearly

— Check the distance that price traveled before the trend ended, longer distances mean larger initial imbalances and improved probabilities in the future

— The strong initial move can contain a few small retracements but not so many that make this move slow and weak

— Avoid opposing levels on the same and immediately higher timeframes, prefer to have a clear road ahead for your trade to run

— Make sure your level is placed correctly (low for Demand, high for Supply) in relation to the big picture's important tops and bottoms

— Trading the first return of price to a valid "fresh" level carries the highest probabilities due to the larger imbalance

— A valid level is considered "fresh" if price has not returned to it since its creation. It has nothing to do with how old the level is
Comments
Walentine
david.toth
Technically it's already sitting on a strong demand zone between 147-148. I think mostly fundamentals / risk aversion will decide if it'll go down to 143. It's quite complex trading the GBP purely on technicals right now. I think it's slowly bottoming out, I'm not sure if it'll revisit 143.
frtsja
Greetings from USA! Thanks for all the analysis, we are forever grateful to you!
tradewonk
@frtsja, Thank you, my pleasure!
secub
thx for the analzis, sir
tradewonk
@secub, No problem
JasonDaigle
Do you trade the way down to the fresh area or do you just wait?
tradewonk
@JasonDaigle, i wait. I only trade on strong supply and demand zones
ScholarGC
:)
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