FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Hi all,

I did a very basic but clear trend analyses.

Currently GBPUSD appears to be a downtrend. We have hit a resistance zone, there is some evidence building that a counter trend move is developing.
To clarify this evidence we have to drop to the lower timeframes, in this case the 15 minutes;
In this chart we see that price came to a halt at this level, we see a Doji, followed by a candle with elongated wick, which in my opinion is a clear exhaustion signal. After this candle we see price edging higher.

I am looking to go back up untill the level indicated by the Light-blue line (1.41862). I am looking to short this when price is showing exhaustion (continuation of the Bearish/Downtrend) between this level and the 1.42458 level (Recent double top). If the latter is broken, the downtrend is non-existing.

Let me hear your opinion on this Pair
Comment:
The mentioned level previously did not hold, we fell through. I expected the move to reach the 1.40 level before finding support, however, on the daily i had drawn a trendline which might now be of relevance. This trendline dates back to 12-19-2017, where it originated, with previous touches at the following dates;
January 3rd, 8th and 9th
April 5th

This level shows confluence with the 50% fib retracement as well;

1h chart.

Trendline visibility on the daily chart;
On this chart, altough hardly visible, we can see that the 76.4% and 76.8% retracement levels of the last move higher are in the same area as the trendline and 50% fib retracement of the larger move.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.