Here we are tracking the highs in Cable as we enter into a key resistance. Getting the last minute deal over the line has had a large FX impact as the uncertainty has drastically held back investment. This has weighed heavy on European Yield curves and on exports. We are seeing these Yield curves steepen again meaning that USD will soften, I am in the camp of USD weakening across the board except versus Sterling which will have to devalue further from a strictly econometric and PPP perspective.
The market has finally convinced the masses that this is an uptrend and that dips will be bought, personally I am against the consensus here, and continue to actively sell a country voting to lose access to free markets (at least in the immediate term and hard to argue without apathy for the long run too). By the time retail is reading these positive headlines around the fabulous 'deal' (btw that is 10x worse than PM May's deal) smart money is loading on the other side. It's still a hard brexit, although the imminent shock to the economy was delayed by a few hours the potential investment in the near future will remain low.
For the technicals we are 'overbought' and into resistance with a long way to the macro swing targets. A Tudor banquet for all to eat from.
Nice W formation when refresh this chart. Do you think it will be valid to enter a sell?
Cincinnatuus
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Watching the dollar (DXY) drop into a much needed correction. The beneficiary's definitely seem to be the Euro and Pound along the lines that money would be more likely to flow to Europe/England as a result.
RobertoMachadoNeto
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And today is friday i think a lot of buyers will close their position for the weekend and that, imo, will push prices down heavily
regedit1
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RSI Divergence since 11 Oct. continues in the meantime
Note that AB (1.338 - 1.195) and upcoming CD leg (1.299 if that's the top here - to 1.16) also supports this forecast in the longer term
If this deal passes as is, it's slightly better than no deal, but worse than May's deal = overall worse for economy (so expect possible rate cuts from BOE). If it doesn't pass, the price already bought the deal scenario. Further decreases are to be expected imo too.
Great analysis as always, thank you.
Zink
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for sure next sunday/monday will open with gap!! up or dow time will tell