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Alexander_Nikitin
Aug 26, 2019 8:26 AM

GBPUSD. unified gartley Long

British Pound/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

A potential unified gartley is setting up.
Trade plan: enter long@1.22241with sl @1.21845(39.6 pips) and tp @1.23429(118.8 ‬pips).

Statistics:
Over the past 20 years a pattern with these B-point and C-point ratios appears 37 times on GBPUSD,30M if the swings are identified with prex(6) algorithm. The best expectancy of 0.7386 of the Risk is acheived if the entry is placed @0.7XA (limit order), stoploss is placed @1.1XA and target is three times greater than risk distance. Historically average RR ratio is 2.39, the probability of win is 51.35%

Comment below if you think it is a good idea to share statistics of a pattern in description. Let me know if I am to do it in future:)

Trade active

Comment

By the way, this pattern is also seen on 1H. Based on 1H history the optimal way of trading it looks this way: prntscr.com/oxpslv

Trade closed: target reached

1H trade recommendation worked extremely well:) Let's see if the 30M trade recommendation works as good:)
Here's the screenshot of the chart: prntscr.com/oy2hfs

Comment

Guys, sorry for misguiding you. Target should NOT be 3 times greater than risk distance but 2 times only. It was GBPAUD target that should be 3 times greater than the risk distance. Here's the screenshot from my backtest file: prntscr.com/oy64ru
Here's the chart with trade levels for GBPUSD, 30M: prntscr.com/oy65nb

Trade closed: target reached

Comment

Guys, Just double checked my files. GBPAUD also has target 2 times greater than risk. Here's the statistics file: prntscr.com/oy69i6
Comments
nuaozrbn
thank you for statistics. yes, keep up the work
Alexander_Nikitin
@nuaozrbn, will do:)
VasilyTrader
Very good ADVANCED pattern on USDJPY as well
CarnellTate
Watch out above 1.236. There are some gnarly sell orders packed in there
Alexander_Nikitin
@CarnellTate, exit at 1.234:)
pimfx
Hello, very nice analysis
What do you think about AUDCAD ?
Alexander_Nikitin
@pimfx, Don't have patterns there
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