Nov 4 '15 GBPUSD Intraday Long

FX:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
60 0
Hacking the Fundamentals

GBP's big day is tomorrow Nov 5. The expectation is that the BOE will keep rates but be hawkish in their outlook for next year. Today, the Services PMI was as expected but actually slightly higher which is good. The UK economy is recovering albeit very slowly - so the sentiment is that the GBP is strong but not strong enough to break 1.54800.

The USD is showing spark of strength as the NFP approaches, but it shouldn't be able to make big moves against the GBP. So any dip in GBP against the USD could be seen as good opportunity to go long specially when it nears 1.53500.

Trading GBPUSD

As "Super Thursday" approaches, those who are expecting the GBP to become strong will be looking for dips to enter the market. The market on the 1hr chart is coiling between 1.5500 and 1.53500. The fair price is at 1.54250 so anything below 1.53800 is a good buy.

I'm looking to enter at 1.54830 and aim for 1.54600 for a 1:3 Trade. Stop Loss is at 1.5358 at -25pips since I don't expect the GBP to go lower, at most it should just form a double bottom .

I am trading the GBPUSD range with a bullish bias today and tomorrow.
Nov 04
Comment: I'm holding off entering this trade as ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI beats expectations 59.1 vs 56.6. This is the 2nd strongest in 10 years since August 2005! This is another good sign for the US.

GBP bulls should be on a wait and see mode.
Nov 04
Comment: The Market is back at 1.5483 area. I will closely observe market movements on Frankfurt and London Open. I prefer a dip in 1.53700 as a good place to buy.
Nov 04
Nov 05
Trade closed: stop reached: I didn't take the buy when the news came out that the vote is still 8-0-1. BOE also lowered their CPI forecast for next year. This confirms a slowdown in UK's recovery and it might take a toll on the GBP until the 2nd half of 2016.

I just scalped the news for a Sell.
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