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jasperlawler
Jul 13, 2018 10:03 AM

GBPUSD bottoming (US trade deal matters less than soft Brexit) Long

British Pound / U.S. DollarFOREX.com

Description

The British pound remains in a downtrend for now- but appears to be transitioning to a sideways range from 1.305 to 1.335
Fundamentally what Trump says about a US trade deal (GBP negative) matters less than improved chance of a soft Brexit from new UK gov whitepaper (GBP positive)

Scenario A) Downtrend pauses -- Price rebounds from 1.305-1.31 support zone to target 1.33 resistance

Scenario B) Downtrend resumes - Price breaks 1.305 (June low) to target 1.28 (Aug '17 low)

Comment

Scenario A) playing out nicely - 30 pips shy of 1.33

Trade closed: target reached

Scenario A) worked, though careful MM needed to TP as price reached 10 pips shy of 1.33 before reversing back to entry point
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