GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN

PAIR & DATE: GBPUSD — 24 Nov 2025
PLAN ID: GU-V4-1124-A
Analysis Timestamp (UTC): 06:20 UTC • Chart Age: ≤30m

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PLAN OVERVIEW
• Category: Swing / Intra-Day
• Trade Type: Pullback → WITH-trend continuation
• Direction: SELL ONLY (WITH-TREND)
• Confidence: 81% (VALID ≥70%)
• Min R:R: 1:3 to TP2
• Status: VALID

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🧭 MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE (Mandatory)
• Trend: WITH-trend
• D1 = strong downtrend
• H4 = clear lower-high → lower-low structure
• H1 = pullback into supply
• Macro Bias: WITH
• USD holding strength
• GBP weak on UK macro + rate expectations soft
• Implication:
→ Primary = SELL ONLY (WITH-TREND)
→ Alternate must follow Bias Integrity Rule → WITH-trend deeper SELL
→ No countertrend BUY allowed (HTF too bearish)

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📍 LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)

🟥 PRIMARY SETUP — HIGHER PROBABILITY (WITH-TREND SELL)

Direction: SELL
• Entry 01: 1.31240 – 1.31310
H4 supply block + clean FVG + micro equal highs liquidity
• Entry 02 (Deeper Zone): 1.31480 – 1.31560
Last unmitigated H4 supply + liquidity sweep pocket
• Stop Loss (Unified): 1.31850
Above HTF swing high + OB invalidation
• TP1: 1.30500
• TP2: 1.29980
• TP3: 1.29300

Order: Pending – Pre-validated ✅
Session: London → NY overlap

Zone Status: Fresh Tap Pending


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🧪 EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. News Blackout: 15 min pre / 60 min post red events
2. Price must tap zone during London/NY
3. Confirmation = H1 Engulf / Pin / BOS
4. Execute as per order type
5. Partial TP1 → SL BE → trail structure
6. Exit on invalidation breach
7. Skip if no trigger
8. EMA stack flat = skip trade

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📡 FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
• CB Bias:
• Fed: mildly hawkish → supports USD
• BoE: dovish tilt → weak GBP
• Key Data (7d): US PCE, UK GDP
• Cross-Asset:
• DXY stable → supports USD strength
• Equities mixed → slight risk-off
• Oil not relevant (GBPUSD)
• Macro Lean: Bearish GBP, modestly bullish USD → favors SELL

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🗺 MARKET MAP
• D1/H4: clear downtrend, multiple BOS
• Liquidity:
• Above: equal highs 1.3125 → prime sweep
• Below: 1.3040 / 1.2990
• Zones:
• Fresh H4 supply = Primary
• Breaker/FVG = Alternate
• Play Type:
Pullback → WITH-trend continuation

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💰 RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
• Per-idea risk: 1–2%
• Basket cap: 2%
• Min R:R ≥1:3 to TP2
• ATR + spread filters satisfied
• Trail by structure only

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🧠 CONFIDENCE (ONE SENTENCE)

81% — HTF downtrend + macro bearish GBP + clean liquidity above + perfectly aligned H4 supply.

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🎯 FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY
• Primary: Execute SELL on tap + H1 confirmation; partial TP1 → BE
• Alternate: Only if Primary missed or price forms BOS lower first
• Stay flat:
• If invalidation breaks
• If Asia taps zone (low quality)
• If EMAs flat or no BOS

Zone Status: Primary (Fresh) • Alternate (Valid Retest)

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📝 POST-TRADE JOURNAL (To fill later)

Outcome + Lesson: ___________