Starting short at 1.2950 Target maybe 120-150 pips down. Unclear if we revisit the 2018 lows.
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Whoops wrong picture above!!
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Added more short today in a bigger way. I am under water at the moment but I believe it is a sound trade. We managed to make it all the way back to the base rail of the descending pitchfork... unbelievably. This is a simultaneous resistance zone of the Year CAM R3 and Year Pivot. There are some month pivot backtest targets that I am looking at to get out of this trade... however we may see a full 50% retracement from the low to the high this week.
I have a similar view, looking for correction before the possible Z down!
mortdiggiddy
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@Boon2, It would make sense to visit the 2018 low by mid november.
Boon2
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@mortdiggiddy, Yes it could turn into expanding flat on D1. On H1 I think theres a real possibility that we might be geting an expanding flat in the X or 4 by the look of current price action.