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FullTimeTrader
Sep 19, 2015 10:01 PM

GBPUSD-bearish hole next week Short

British Pound/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Hello, im using here the same setup i used before on other GBP pairs : convergence-divergence together with other reasons:

- AB=CD pattern (pink line)
- 0.61 fib retracement
- convergence on AO
- price retesting the broken trendline
- strong structure as resistance

On H4 chart.

- another AB=CD pattern
- Divergence



The SL is not so good, i was busy last friday managing other opened trades.

Regards
Comments
FrancisPujols
Can we enter right now in short?
FullTimeTrader
Hello, its depends on you trading system, timeframe, etc, many reasons. PERSONALLY i would prefer a retracement on H4 chart to have a better R/R ratio. Regards.
FrancisPujols
You mean a pullback?
FullTimeTrader
yes
Pip-thief
Why have you included an invalid AB-CD pattern in your trading strategy ?
FullTimeTrader
Hello, wich one is invalid? I will explain my reasons both on D1 and H4 charts. First, when talking about AB=CD pattern we always talk about a zone, not exactly to the pip. I trade AB=CD not everywhere but based on other reasons, mainly Elliott Waves. In this case on D1 chart i consider price is forming a complex WxYxZ correction, and the X leg are almost equal:
FullTimeTrader
On H4 chart i see price formin an ABC zigzag with the relationship shown on chart. Regards.
Pip-thief
On your very first chart, not the two you have attached after my comment. Your AB-CD pattern drawn with pink lines is invalid. It is invalid because your B-C leg extends beyond point A and therefore is not recognised and cannot be integrated as such a pattern in your chart, regardless of how you trade them.
Fxprotrader
Great analysis.. I am exactly the same to this one and already in with a short trade.. Good luck!
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