The current movement of this pair would suggestion a continuation in the downward direction, coming extremely close to the pairs historical bottom (1.35000). If this level breaks i'm not too sure as to where it will stop. At this point I believe the fundamentals will play a bigger part in predicting or suggesting a new bottom. Britain's decision to either stay or leave the EU will be a big mover.
Monthly/Weekly Analysis ( I will attach the monthly chart)
With a break of the WeeklyTrendLine we can look towards a push up to our current level of weekly resistance (1.46194) sitting just above the 0.236fib level (1.46060).
On a break of the 0.236fib level the pair will be looking with a confirmation being a break of the . With that break the pair will be looking to push just past the 0.5fib level (1.54831) to about (1.55739). If we don't get that initial break of the WeeklyTrendLine then look for the pair to continue to follow the trend down towards the MonthlyBottom (1.34983)
Entry: (Monthly/Weekly) Break of the WeeklyTrendLine around (1.42000 - 1.42500)
Exit : (Monthly/Weekly) First exit at 0.236fib level (1.46060) to weekly resistance (1.46194). Following strong movement, we have second exit levels at the 0.50fib (1.54831) to (1.55800)
Risk: (Monthly/Weekly) A return to the daily level sitting on (1.40702)