DanV

GBPUSD - COULD BE READY FOR RETRACEMENT

Short
FX_IDC:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Most USD pairs weakness against USD has be very stretched have been appearing to either reverse trend or at least make noticeable retracement

GBPUSD is not different. It is possible that the recent bottom formed in April could be significant one resulting in trend change or may be just an intermediate low. Also as it was severally oversold exasperated by uncertainties associated with the UK lection which resolved very cleanly it benefited from lifting of that uncertainty.

However at current level it could offer opportunity to short with retracement or retest of the low in prospect.

Technical Summary:

1. Weekly chart shows that it has approach the median line and 38.2% retracement of the entire decline from July 2014 which could offer resistance See chart below
2. Since the low in April it appears to have abc zigzag with price having just poked above the previous resistance possibly triggering stops.
3. At a level with several Fib extensions and projections offering confluence.
4. Accompanied by clear RSI divergence.
5. Possible decline to 1.51 -1.50 would feasible in case of retracement or might continue all the way to retest the April low.

Warning: This is my interpretation of price action using TA approach that I consider helps me most, but could be completely wrong. Therefore as always, do your own analysis for your trade requirement and ignore my views.

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DanV
danv-charting.com

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