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Tradesmanship
Jul 23, 2016 12:11 PM

(GBPUSD) Daily and 4hr - speculation and analysis 

British Pound/U.S. DollarFXCM

Description

Daily -
We can clearly see a descending broadening wedge, which makes this pair Bullish in long term, however I would like to see this pair hit the bottom of the wedge before it heads up, if we do break the blue trend line, its a safe to say to sell after a small consolidation, if we don't then we shall continue heading up.

4hr -
The 4hr time frame also shows a wedge too, but its unclear if its descending or ascending wedge. regardless of the wedge properties, a breakout of either side should be followed by a small consolidation and a big move.

- Sentimental data provided by Mongers Kit shows majority are Long on this pair :
gyazo.com/8dbf9867f58b944d2a0a272e23696c69


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If your planning to use them as signal, do your own research first and you are responsible for your own entries, exit, profit and loss management.


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Comment


down side prevails, safe to short with tight SL

Comment

short SL was hit, we are back to the wedge, waiting to see what happens next.

Comment

daily short confirmed, wait for a little consolidation before selling.

Trade closed manually

out of this trade with - 50 pips
Comments
newbie2016
The walk gbpusd is having is not Bearish :) but cunning :) to trap sellers.. remaining market will tell..
Tradesmanship
I personally think we have not seen the bottom of GBP yet, I feel like we need one more leg down before the real bullish movements start, but we shall see ;) , I will close all my positions before FOMC, am not looking forward to any surprises haha.
newbie2016
I am bearish too.. but i can not ignore bullish moves.. check gbpaud 1hr chart.. double bottom and now trading at neckline of it.. also check 4hr candle.. So watching that gbpaud.. I think gbpusd will remain for more consolidation as I see upside in gbpaud and check gbpjpy as well..

Things are wild as I am bullish usdjpy..
newbie2016
For gu, key area is 1.305 then 1.30 for today...
newbie2016
This was the reason.. that I was saying to stay away from gbpusd short.. cuz bullish divergence was going on in other gbp pairs.. literally no movement from gu after news and all others pair was falling..
Tradesmanship
yeah, well it didn't go down as I thought it would but it didn't go up either, its still consolidating, direction still unclear but am still in favour of short.
newbie2016
I think more consolidation on way in gu due to its cross pairs.. check gpbnzd and gbpaud..
newbie2016
It is still holding bullish divergence... check holding v. nice now above 1.31
Tradesmanship
well fuk lol, am getting out of this, seems like its going your way. I shall come back for this another day
newbie2016
lol not my way.. but market way.. my 1st msg was if gu remains above 1.305 then it will go for 1.32..

I think gu is in still good mood to consolidate then maybe fall.. for now lets see how far it goes..
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