With the showing resistive pressure coming in from the underside of a weekly swap level 1.5733, and price only recently closing below a daily swap area of support at 1.5698-1.5658, technically this pair does not look in good shape.
Therefore, we guess it is all up to the 1.5600 number going into today’s sessions. If the buyers can hold out above this level, they will then need to consume any offers remaining within the recently broken 4hr demand area. Should this happen, the bulls may then have a chance here. That said though, with both the weekly and pointing south at the moment, we would not feel comfortable trading long from here. Conversely, if price breaks through 1.5600, we see further weakness below. The yellow box shows very little active demand (in our opinion) other than the 4hr demand area seen at 1.5486-1.5528, which converges not only with round-number support at 1.5500, but also the daily swap zone at 1.5491-1.5435.
With all of the above taken into account, and the fact that we have the mighty NFP data to look forward to later, we have very little interest in buying this pair. Selling, however, could be a possibility on the break and retest of 1.5600, but let’s see what happens during the course of today’s sessions as price notoriously consolidates ahead of NFP releases.
Levels to watch/ live orders:
• Buys: Flat (Stop loss: N/A).
• Sells: Flat (Stop loss: N/A).