The pair is in a correction, the fall is possible.
On the 4-hour chart, a downward correction of the higher level developed as the wave (2), and the formation of the third wave (3) began. Now the first wave of the lower level i of 1 of (3) has formed, and a local correction is forming as the wave ii of 1, within which the wave (b) of ii is forming. If the assumption is correct, after the end of the correction the pair will fall to the levels of 1.2806–1.2707. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3215.
Main scenario
Short positions will become relevant during the correction, above the level of 1.3215 with the targets at 1.2806–1.2707. Implementation period: 5–7 days.
Alternative scenario
The breakdown and the consolidation of the price below the level of 1.3215 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.3390–1.3628.
Scenario
Timeframe Weekly Recommendation SELL Entry Point 1.2931 Take Profit 1.2806, 1.2707 Stop Loss 1.2990 Key Levels 1.2707, 1.2806, 1.3215, 1.3390, 1.3628
Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP Entry Point 1.3220 Take Profit 1.3390, 1.3628 Stop Loss 1.3160 Key Levels 1.2707, 1.2806, 1.3215, 1.3390, 1.3628