The Russian troops have been deployed on the Ukrainian border in more than a dozen strategic locations. For weeks, Putin and other Russian officials have held the narrative that NATO is a threat to their security and they don't want to see it expand in the area anymore. It seems there is a need for a catalyst, aka Ukrainians are throwing missiles into pro-Russian kindergartens and schools. Subsequently, I suspect Russian troops will invade Ukraine as early as the beginning of March; due to the more favourable climatic conditions. A war in Europe will negatively impact currencies like CHF, GBP and the Euro.
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It appears we got some positive news; Macron is trying to persuade Putin to an agreement and to not invade Ukraine.
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There is an opinion that Putin wants to put pressure on EU, US and Ukraine so as to facilitate the transition of the eastern districts in the region of Donbas towards independence and integration into the Russian Federation. Other districts could be eyed too.
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It was confirmed that Putin signed the decree of recognizing the independence of Luhansk and Donetsk.
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TP1 hit. And the price crossed the trendline which means there is a chance it could hit TP2 as well sometime later.
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TP2 hit as well. Russia invaded Ukraine as foretold.