COMEX:GC1!   GOLD FUTURES
1236 18 1
Just looking and sharing some thoughts on Gold             . I am seeing a potential setup for a positive move soon. Similar to the one in early 2012. The moving averages are laid out like rungs on a ladder as both resistance and support as they are met and crossed. The 50 will be the hardest to cross as it has served as resistance since November of last year. This double bottom is projecting a move to the 1570's area which will eclipse the 100 SMA . But before any of this , the bottom must hold.
ay_mickey
3 years ago
interesting ,but i think the price will fall even further.
im a novice never traded before, so im looking around, but you have to go with your gut feeling, i would say
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littleriver ay_mickey
3 years ago
Today certainly proved your insight truthful. Thank you for sharing. For my own analysis , I find it more profitable to stick with the charts. I especially like to find a precedence from the past when attempting to see into the future.Though the past doesn't always repeat exactly, I find it is good reference data for what is possible.
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ay_mickey littleriver
3 years ago
iv only been looking at charts for 24 hours,and still dont know what im looking at hahaha.
but this pro-diction is from way back before it started rising from $800 , and just a year or 2 from when the Euro came in to currency, then it started to climb, .
think of this Greece got in to trouble, so was it them that started the sell, Germany has asked for there gold back from the states, is this sending the no confidence in gold, or is it the states blocking Iran from getting gold into the country?
maybe but this is a long shot, diamonds could start to rise, cause gold is heave to transport, theres something not right going on, i hope gold does keep falling cause when it bottoms out, it will be a free for all, but maybe not as high or as quick, what people think
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LEONES PRO
3 years ago
No signals at the moment. COT in Silver seems showing big buyers coming in now. I need to check the gold one.
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LEONES PRO
3 years ago
Or better the commercial (hedgers) are reducing constantly the shorts...
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littleriver LEONES
3 years ago
Sounds like a really early signal. Where does one find charting of this trading action?
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Dmtz4444
3 years ago
you have the 8 CROSSing over the 20 EMA , could this be the turn around point, like the pervious circle you jjust pointed out ?
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littleriver Dmtz4444
3 years ago
Yes, it will be be an early signal. Even earlier still would be a crossing of the 8EMA and 10SMA. A green candle would be a nice start :D.
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Not ready to go long, but may soon pull the trigger.
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littleriver QuantitativeExhaustion
3 years ago
Seems i am often early. Though, I am working on that aspect . Thank you.
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littleriver
3 years ago
Here is an early crossing I am looking for if we are to go green.
snapshot
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ay_mickey
3 years ago
Does this chart pro-dictions work, i wouldn't have thought so, but like i said im just a novice, iv not even traded yet, cause i dont feel confident enough yet, im here to learn from you guys without paying funny money for a mentor, iv been told there's demo's in here but still cant find them, i look at it this way, instead of having just one mentor, in here i have thousands,
Everything has a beginning, and im there, standing at the door looking in !
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littleriver ay_mickey
3 years ago
Your in the right place to learn. I have learned a great deal from the many contributors here at tradingview. I am unaware though of the demo you mentioned. One of the first things you will want to learn is Japanese Candlesticks. Here is a link to a pdf of a book on the subject by Steve Nison.
http://rnd.psychonauticresearch.com/Reading%20Room/Japanese%20Candlestick%20Charting%20Techniques%20by%20Steve%20Nison.pdf
There are number of indicators to learn but this book is a great place to start your journey.

In some ways, we are all still learning ; we are just at different stages of the game. I am far from an expert myself but willing to share what I know. Please feel free to ask questions anytime.
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ay_mickey littleriver
3 years ago
Thank you littleriver,
that's well appreciated, as i get deeper into this il be asking lots of questions, Have a fab wkend :-)
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ay_mickey ay_mickey
3 years ago
i hope you don't mind, but iv added you to my following list
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littleriver ay_mickey
3 years ago
Not at all. Infact, I use this tool often myself. One of the best learning tools on the site.
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Databased
3 years ago
While we minor long setup appear over the next few days gold will likely be down for the long term. However, over the long-term we will likely see lower gld prices as a result of the fed's recent decision to tapper its bond buying leading to a stronger dollar and weaker gold.
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littleriver Databased
3 years ago
Thank you for sharing your insights . Certainly something to watch. Here is one article on the subject.

By Min Zeng

Treasury bonds fell Friday after a two-day price rally, as anxiety continues to mount that the Federal Reserve would pull back from buying bonds in coming months.

In recent trading, the price of the benchmark note fell by 8/32, pushing up its yield to 1.893%, according to Tradeweb. The 30-year bond's price fell by 19/32, yielding 3.115%. Bond prices move inversely to their yields.

The central bank's steady purchases--$45 billion per month in Treasury bonds since the start of the year--has been a major factor holding bond yields near historic lows. Any signal that the bond market may lose support of a major buyer could send bond prices tumbling and pushing up yields.

The angst has built up this month and got a further boost Thursday afternoon from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President John Williams. Mr. Williams argues that the central bank may taper off buying Treasury bonds as soon as this summer.

Mr. Williams doesn't vote on interest-rate policy this year. Yet he had advocated for more monetary stimulus to support the economic growth, a stance known as being an interest-rate "dove." Thursday's comment indicated a significant shift in his stance toward the "hawk" camp--where some Fed officials have pushed for withdrawal of monetary stimulus to prevent runaway inflation risk in the longer term.

"Fixed-income investors are getting increasingly nervous on the Fed outlook," said Anthony Cronin, a Treasury bond trader at Societe Generale SA.

After falling to this year's low of 1.61% on May 1, the 10-year note's yield has climbed, touching a two-month peak of 1.985% on May 15.

Investors will closely scrutinize Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke next Wednesday when he is scheduled to testify before lawmakers on economic outlook and monetary policy.

Mr. Bernanke has long been a key force of the dove camp, pumping liquidity into the economy. Last week though, he took note of the potential market bubble driven by the Fed's generous cash provisions, which has sent U.S. stocks to record highs this month and U.S. junk bond yields to all-time lows.

"In light of the current low interest rate environment, we are watching particularly closely for instances of 'reaching for yield' and other forms of excessive risk-taking, which may affect asset prices and their relationships with fundamentals," Mr. Bernanke said last week.

Traders said Treasury bonds would sell off next week if Mr. Bernanke highlights this risk again, which could raise speculation that the Fed chief could edge closer to scaling back on bond buying.

Still, some bond bulls remain skeptical that the Fed will move to cut back on bond purchases before the end of the year given the still uncertain economic outlook.

Bond prices rallied in the previous two sessions fueled by disappointing economic releases. Gauges of manufacturing activities in Mid-Atlantic region fell and initial jobless claims rose, pointing to still moderate recovery in the labor market.

Jan Hatzius, chief U.S. economist at Goldman Sachs Holdings Inc. and one of the most high-profile Fed watcher on Wall Street, said in a note to clients Friday that tapering off bond buying will not happen this year.

Mr. Hatzius believes the Fed will gradually taper off bond buying, starting in the first quarter of 2014, presumably to be announced at the December 2013 Fed policy meeting.

Write to Min Zeng at min.zeng@wsj.com
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