TNasr

GDX needs to pullback and reset

Short
AMEX:GDX   VANECK VECTORS ETF TRUST
GDX has been on a good run and is showing signs of topping out. Specifically bearish divergence is clear on MFI ( money flow index [similar to RSI but also account for volume] and we see a clear 5 wave pattern in the context of Elliot Wave analysis with wave 5 almost exactly equal to wave 1 which is a component of wave analysis. For those who want to short you must establish your own stop loss and a reasonable first target is the low 38 regions based on a . 618 retracement of the 5th wave and this also correlates to where the volume weighted moving average is. I would also not be surprised to see a corrective ABC pattern play out.

Comments

Ook lolol
+1 Reply
TNasr Uhrenmann
@Uhrenmann, Still laughing? While GDX did exceed my ideal short levels today it is down 6% from the level I indicated a reset was likely and down 14% from its recent high. I shorted twice and was green twice. Once you get more experience in markets you'll understand the concept of mean reversion
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Exiting my short position today
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lotta noise on that chart...
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TNasr cazadore
@cazadore, Another degree of MFI divergence is evident on the daily with regards to today's high. I'd say if we don't get a drop by next week I'm wrong.
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except this moves on the demand for mining gold which will increase with inflation and hedges against USD...
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TNasr neclervi
@neclervi, Securities will ALWAYS revert to a mean, that level (VWMA, 21MA, or whatever) may fluctuate but it will be hit
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