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Eboard10
Oct 23, 2016 10:41 AM

GDX - On the Brink of a Final Move Down? 

VanEck Gold Miners ETFArca

Description

This past week we saw the gold minders rise into a wave iv of C topping at 25, followed by a sideways move that has yet to reveal its direction. This high could represent a nice topping area to make space for a last leg down as a wave v. However, the price movement this week could still see the GDX make a small move up to complete wave iv before resuming the downtrend to complete the larger wave C of 2 correction around the 22-21 range during the first half of November.

If the price were to break above 26 before dropping below 24, I will consider the larger wave C of 2 correction already completed and will be looking for a retracement of the rise from the 22.5 low, although it does look like the miners still need one last leg down to shake off some more investors before resuming the bull market.
Comments
kiran.pinto1
Eboard10 your charts are spot on . GDX on decline as per your indicative charts .

Please keep us updated and keep up the good work
Eboard10
Thanks. Analyzing price movements requires working with different possible patterns and trying to determine the most likely outcome given the available price and volume data, though one should always be prepared for a different count to play out than the preferred one and adjust accordingly.
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