Bear market will end in Nov. 2016 or Jan. 2017 and it could last longer if US economic isn’t showing any growth. Target is 8000 which is correcting the whole big cycle bull market from Mar. 2003. An easy way to watch when this will be bottomed by watching ECB easing plan is expanded not extended.
The sky is falling. from Agents of shield. TV show series.
Trading correlations has huge risks too.
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DAX rising will be followed by the Euro rising to be against the inflation till the later one reaches a top.
I think the problem here is due to a lack of the spirit of taking risks since 2014.
Image if we make it correcting from 2014 then we should've bottom in 3 years. An whole new healthy cycle should've begun now. The core inflation should've rose in 2014 and the stagflation situation is the key reason of our culture movements during 10 years (2014-2024).
The painful time is always coming with market corrections but as short as it takes, or saying we should've make it quick and short, that's volatility is an healthy state of the market.
But now it's a torture, a sickness in negative, an uncharted ( the word "uncharted" is very suitable for this situation because of it's invisible on chart) territory.
The thing is, will they make it quick or not now? Those stupid central banks?
To be very clear, we don't trade news but pure technically.
Everything is already on chart, in 2years plus 2 months.
History must be respect, central banks who are thinking about negative interests will rise stocks forever, that’s a unresponsable assuming.
Not only the stock market will be falling but also the commodity market are sabotaging by the negative interests since 2015. This is causing 10 years culture revolution movement already. Many evils are coming from the revolution. A typical manipulation failure.
The BOJ could attack the market or the Tax “buy news sell fact”, you name it...
Keep the negative interests and make it crashing quickly ( The first major wave up could be an impulse). Then recover 0% interests at the horizon around 10000, then the second wave shall come to drop it a little bit lower. After the second wave, it shall commence the major wave 3rd. of the 3rd. soon. You can make it quick, or make it a torture... looks like Draghi prefer the later one...
HERE WE ARE!!!
It looks like an huge turn from the Japanese Yen money policy is coming soon... capital squeezing out from global stock markets, RISK OFF and carry trades also higher interests currencies will be bought.
This's making Euro dollar an awkward situation, Euro down, GER30 down, only inflation rises...
We've predicted that the China small caps are rising in a negative correlation with GER30. (China major index down with global markets but small caps up. Cina major market is following GER30 by mistake Renminbi's deposit negative interests policy) We'll publish this chart during Christmas in Chinese version.
Everything will be pay back if you cheat, remember this "never cheat". This time ECB cheated our human history, they're using European peoples future and they'll pay back soon. EURUSD down too, it has to be down for protecting this huge failure.