Akil_Stokes
Short

GER30: Another Test of Structure

FX:GER30   DAX index of German listed shares
One of my current clients is a big trader of the German DAX             so i find myself looking at this index on almost a daily basis. The more I look at it, the more I enjoy breaking it down as it seems to be a pretty technical friendly chart.

When taking a look at it today in my Live Trading Room we noticed a few things. The obvious structure level looking left, the potential butterfly pattern completion at that structure level and a large area of confluence between numerous Fibonacci extensions and inversions. We've also got some AB=CD action thrown in there as well. Yes there's an even bigger potential butterfly that could be setting up on the higher timeframes. But there's no need to worry about that until structure is broken.

Akil

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There is one bigger timeframe butterfly also with very cood fibonacci confluence. See
Bearish butterfly on DAX 4h
+1 Reply
I had the same thought and I'm not even German :) So far it seems justified as the Dax broke out to the upside of it's triangle consolidation went back to retest and is trying to move on up. I'll be long until the area indicated on Akil's chart unless the triangle is invalidated which wouldn't be very ''Vorsprung durch Technik'' :)
snapshot
+1 Reply
I always tell the traders I work with "to think like the other trader" so another traders short area is an excellent place to snag profits on a long.
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This would be the super long term trade ! But clearly, has to go through this Time Frame to get there.
The German War
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I feel its bearish short term, but over the long term, i don't like that the price has taken the 161.8 extension for the latest correction, and the 127 extension for the 2007-2009 bear market
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Thats one where if you enter, you just shut down the chart and come back in a month or so. It would have a lot of support to break
+2 Reply
Add to that the major horizontal resistance
snapshot
+2 Reply
Technician TOP Technician
Looks like a good short trade in terms of risk-reward
+3 Reply
If any chart would be technically "correct", it should be of a German market! And before anyone gets upset over that, I'm half German! Good luck with the trade and thanks for sharing.
+1 Reply
algoteam caifu642
nice and true
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