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The_Cannalyst
Aug 2, 2016 7:15 AM

Shortterm H&S?  Short

DAX index of German listed sharesFXCM

Description

H&S? What are your ideas? How do you trade Dax today?

Comment. was this the final overshooting today which triggeres the bearish wedge?


Main Analysis:
DAX reached Action Point!

Dax reached the falling trendline which is valid since 21.04.2016. For me, thats an Action Point where a desicion has to be made. An upcoming consolidation is thinkable at that Level (possible tp on the downside is - as always - the 38,2 fibo) , but not neccesary. The RSI signs further up-potential in the daily Chart - there is still a bullish momentum - every dip was bought these days.
If DAX % could beat the midterm downtrend since April, the BIG Downtrend can be aimed!
Beating this longterm downtrend means a resumption of the maitrend - a Long Lasting bullmarket since 2008.
Dear followers! I Need some comments or other ideas ! I Analyse the market for YOU

Former Analysis:
Little Consolidation ahead?

Dax is trading near it`s upperedge of the blue counted uptrend. Perhaps at that Level Dax will make a Little break on it`s main way up to 10.400

New midterm-longsignal above 9775

red vs. green counting..in my Chart i have illustrated the present resistance and support zones.
If Dax could overcome the resistance @ 9775 , a shortterm longsignal with tp @ 9.950 appears. The following TP could be 10.350.
Above 10.350-10.450 the midterm downtrend will break - that will generate midterm/longterm Targets @ 11.300/11.750/12.300
Above 12.350 there would be a BIG LONGSIGNAL --> TP 13.700!
If Dax is trading below the last green "3" respective the last red "2" i exspect a sellof with tp @ 7.250.

Comment

beware of a possible bear trap - dax is very strong theses days, they are buying EVERY dip ... but let`s see - as long Dax < 10.350 the momentum (shortterm) is still bearish (acrtive wedge - possible top-building , possible H&S)

Comment

Position triggered - Now a tiny Rebound back to the BO-Niveau?

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Dax kissed the EMA 200! This level is corresponding to the 0,5 fibo - rsi is oversold now - rebound action? 10.250 could be a rebound-niveau (38,2 fibo of the last dip)

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Potential H&S TPS!

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Faster than a speedy bullet! Dax reached TP1 = Min. TP H&S

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trading below todays low will iniitiate the next shortterm downwave

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It`s time to adjust the SL of the illustrated shortposition ..here i Show 2 alternatives..my preferred sl a bit above the last high or a tactic sl nar the 38,2 fibo.

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here we go! dax reached the next action point!

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WOW!! PERFECT! EXACTLY REACHED ILLUSTRATED SHORT-TP- CHEERS!!!

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will we see the H&S- max-tp-test today ?

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Cheers - possible sl-adjustement example trade!
Comments
andras1229
your dax analisys are fantastic
shomonrobie
it was perfect!
The_Cannalyst
THX
Niklaus
excellent, imho DAX is at make or break level on a daily timeframe, if it turns bearish it could go fast to below 8000 in a matter of a few weeks.
gfknn5
perfect!
Krasen
Good job, Love!
Rebond to 10300?
The_Cannalyst
THX -perhaps 10.230
salarfeen
I want to short more as I feel it will go to 10020.

Can you please tell me a good rebound level to short from ?

I am already short from:
10460
10400
10350
10330
10320
10200
The_Cannalyst
wow...whats your strategy? Whats your time-horizon you hold the Position? whats your tp, how is your actual sl? i am not a friend of shorting Rebounds - i am a pure breakout-Trader...
salarfeen
I felt it had topped and would go to 10020.

My tp is 10080

Timeframe upto two weeks. Started shorting last Wed.

SL adjusted to 10360
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