YaKa

BUND - Fantastic Trade

EUREX:GG2!   Euro Bund
83 7 2
It is SHORT.

- The configuration is perfect.
- 2.5% higher on this contract, Bund             reaches zero rates.
- For the next 3 months the risk is to have bund             climb to 159.50 (from 156.50).
- It would come back as rates would hit close to zero
- The potential once it opens below 155.5 is very of a few figures before a potential catch up to top or close to top.

Related Ideas

wow, that gap was funny, 3rd one in a year, learned sth. again... just, how can one trade such thing? have you been there?

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YaKa look4edge
NO - That is not a gap.

It is just that futures are rolling and there is a spread between futures that is not linear and depends technicalities beyond trading continuity.
Reply
YaKa look4edge
Check GGM2015 - you will see it is continuous (no gap)
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well you are right, checked my platform too and got figure 158.85 just now, tricky
Reply
YaKa look4edge
the interesting thing though is that the roll is often close to reversals. Let's see this time what we get.... in any case we can't be too far from at least a small corrrection.. if not upside probably limited to 2% (which is a lot from here
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thx, so then the gg1 chart is for me not so reliable anymore..., in my platform i have kind of continous cfd cash contract, back above 159 after drop to 158.1
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YaKa look4edge
No worries.

Actually the gg1 is relevant in big picture still - As strange as it may sound, the chart still hold key clues in the long run... You need to watch gg1 and gg2 for big picture and then when you arrive close to a trading setup, you need to the existing future as stand alone and make sure that the reasoning holds.
+1 Reply
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