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AwesomeAvani
Mar 1, 2024 6:14 AM

GLD the gold futures ETF LONG Long

SPDR Gold TrustArca

Description

On the daily chart GLD is in a volume profile early breakout going above the jagged pruple line

representing the top of the high volume area. Price has been compressing within a

symmetrical triangle and now has broke through the descending resistance trendline portion of

that. What remains to be seen is a retest of that new support line. Of late Bitcoin has ran up

and probably taken with it market cap away from gold. ( see my idea on the Bitcoin to spot

gold ratio) Now that Bitcoin has topped and is retracing capital is freed up to flow into gold

which has been comparitively weaker. I will take a long trade here and exploit the opportunity

in the cycle between gold and Bitcoin.

Trade active

Decent price movement today. Stop loss still below break even but not by much. Holding full position.

Trade active



GLD has bullish momentum now as seen by the volume and volatility indicators
to suggest a push to break the flat top resistance seen on the chart above

Comment

Zoom -in here:

GLD options striking $188 for mid- November up 25% in 24 hours. Full position. Considering an add if there is a dip but do not expect it. Chart pattern is a high tight flag forecasting more bullish momentum. Geopolitics lending support to gold price.

Trade active

XAUUSD pivoting down on the London Session expect support at $ 2084

Trade active

GLD continues with bullish momentum. Added to call option position with expirations
in December ( as in after the elections).

Comment

GLD in an ascending channel is now situated near to the bottom support trend line

making it in a buy zone to add to a position.

Comment

SPOT GOLD compressing in a triangle consolidation on GLD for now awaiting a directional move after that:

Comments
AwesomeAvani
Today's Spot Gold chart supports a GLD long trade
BeyondBullishTrades
What's your price target and risk-reward ratio, and how confidently do you expect to reach it within your projected timeline?
AwesomeAvani
@BeyondBullishTrades, I am a goldbug for sure. I easily expect a 20% appreciation in price over the remainder of the year. Additionally commodities are rising without an effort due to inflation including the price of gold. Until inflation is stopped
or reverse, gold will rise in relative value to any currency including the USD. Call options have paid me well. I roll them forward before expirations to avoid time decay. Gold is also supported by active war conflicts and the Chinese central bank buying to set the possible launch of a gold-backed new currency to challenge the USD perhaps in a coalition with other interested nations including Brazil, India, and others. This is serious buying pressure on gold related stocks.
AwesomeAvani
@BeyondBullishTrades, arbitrarily my stop loss may be $10 / share and reward 50% at $30 and 50% at $45 although fixed stop losses are not one of my habits.
AwesomeAvani
@BeyondBullishTrades, Characteristically, I typically have relatively high confidence !
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