Outside side of black swan I think we can see a common 50% retrace of the move (170-180) range. If there is some bearish news/narrative we could see a more aggressive move downward, and if the pre/post having black swan event happens like it did in 2020, 2016, and 2012 then we could see a revisit to the low 100's to 90's but thats a bit of a hopium.