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Crypto-Swing
Jul 17, 2022 4:54 AM

The Magic of Cycles - Part II 

GOLD (US$/OZ)TVC

Description

This chart reviews the four major cycles affecting humanity, being the:
- Kondratieff Cycle;
- Strauss-Howe Generations Cycle;
- W.D. Gann Property Cycle; and
- Solar Cycle.

I contrast these cycles with Global events of the time, the price of Gold, the US M2 monetary aggregate, and US Interest rates.

My commentary on the chart is available on Patreon for free. Enjoy!

Comment

Just a couple of points:
- The cycles are not actually symmetrical and some peaks are skewed towards the end of their cycles, so be careful not to read too much into cyclical peaks or the slope of the curves.
- Also, due to the subtle variability of the respective cycles, these cycle periods are approximations only and get less accurate the further removed they become from the current timeframe.
- 1914 is the concensus date for the Kondratieff bottom at that time, which raises the prospect of a repeating cycle of c.1314 months duration following the bottom around 2030.

Comment

If you are interested in running through an explanation of these cycles, with expanded content of a hidden cycle, a discussion of the implications for the future and a review of the fractal similarities of the past, then I have posted a free video on my Patreon page.
Comments
Platinum-Markets
Why is 1914 the concensus bottom...?
Crypto-Swing
@Platinum-Markets that’s a fair question as I recognise that there is a lot of subjective interpretation in choosing dates for K-waves and I may have been too liberal with the use of “consensus”. However, when I was tabulating these dates, the date I saw as best fitting the wave was 1914.
Cazimiro
Really interesting job.
Crypto-Swing
@Cazimiro, Thanks.
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