The market recently broke out of a consolidation zone, which had been holding price in a tight sideways structure. This breakout cleared the liquidity above the range, and price briefly surged past the trend line, showing temporary bullish momentum. However, this move is corrective within the broader bearish framework.
Price has now entered the imbalance region, leaving a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) above, signaling inefficiency that the market is likely to revisit on the downside. Above this, the price is approaching a strong, unmitigated Upper Order Block — the key supply zone on the chart.
This Upper OB sits above the liquidity cleared during the consolidation breakout, making it the strongest potential rejection point. A reaction from this zone would likely trigger a sell-off back toward the Lower Order Block, filling the remaining FVG on the way down. This aligns with the original bearish structure, with the recent upward move being only a corrective retracement.
If the Upper OB holds, the expected move is a decline, making this a high-probability sell setup. Only a strong breakout above the OB with sustained closings would invalidate this bearish scenario.
Price has now entered the imbalance region, leaving a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) above, signaling inefficiency that the market is likely to revisit on the downside. Above this, the price is approaching a strong, unmitigated Upper Order Block — the key supply zone on the chart.
This Upper OB sits above the liquidity cleared during the consolidation breakout, making it the strongest potential rejection point. A reaction from this zone would likely trigger a sell-off back toward the Lower Order Block, filling the remaining FVG on the way down. This aligns with the original bearish structure, with the recent upward move being only a corrective retracement.
If the Upper OB holds, the expected move is a decline, making this a high-probability sell setup. Only a strong breakout above the OB with sustained closings would invalidate this bearish scenario.
Market Analyst | Supply & Demand | FVG | Smart Money Concepts
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Market Analyst | Supply & Demand | FVG | Smart Money Concepts
Daily setups & premium signals on Telegram
🔗Link in bio
Daily setups & premium signals on Telegram
🔗Link in bio
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
