GOOG - Cautious Buy - Played via Selling Put Credit Spread
GOOG has closed upwards of $1,054, forming a nice bullish candlestick!
So, despite the great candlestick formation, there are some worrisome signs brewing in the Bond & Gold Markets, as well as in the Volatility Index.
This means that if investors start heading towards safe havens like these, the stock market should take a pause and/or pull back.
As a result, the way I decided to play this bullish to neutral stance of mine on GOOG, is by selling the $1,012.5 / $1,010 Dec. 15 Put Credit Spread (18 Days out) for $0.27 credit, or $27 per contract ($2,700 for a 100 lot). This means that based on the ThinkorSwim platform, this is a Delta 15 put spread, which simply implies that the options market assigns JUST a 15% chance that this option spread will be ITM (In The Money) by its expiration. In simple terms, it is highly unlikely that we will get our options assigned to us.
To summarize, being long GOOG by selling this put spread, we stand to make more than 10% Return On Our Risked Amount in 18 Days and having an 85% chance that we will be right doing so! Pretty good odds for a really good return, in a short period of time! This way, we are allowing GOOG to drop MORE THAN $30 from its current levels and STILL be able to keep ALL of our premium.
Close your position when GOOG hits $1,080 (Profit Target), or Exit the trade, if the spread increases to $0.40 (Stop Loss), for a 2R.
Happy Trading
Lindosskier
So, despite the great candlestick formation, there are some worrisome signs brewing in the Bond & Gold Markets, as well as in the Volatility Index.
This means that if investors start heading towards safe havens like these, the stock market should take a pause and/or pull back.
As a result, the way I decided to play this bullish to neutral stance of mine on GOOG, is by selling the $1,012.5 / $1,010 Dec. 15 Put Credit Spread (18 Days out) for $0.27 credit, or $27 per contract ($2,700 for a 100 lot). This means that based on the ThinkorSwim platform, this is a Delta 15 put spread, which simply implies that the options market assigns JUST a 15% chance that this option spread will be ITM (In The Money) by its expiration. In simple terms, it is highly unlikely that we will get our options assigned to us.
To summarize, being long GOOG by selling this put spread, we stand to make more than 10% Return On Our Risked Amount in 18 Days and having an 85% chance that we will be right doing so! Pretty good odds for a really good return, in a short period of time! This way, we are allowing GOOG to drop MORE THAN $30 from its current levels and STILL be able to keep ALL of our premium.
Close your position when GOOG hits $1,080 (Profit Target), or Exit the trade, if the spread increases to $0.40 (Stop Loss), for a 2R.
Happy Trading
Lindosskier