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Xander3
Dec 29, 2014 12:33 AM

Will Google break the 2004 uptrend? Short

Alphabet Inc.NASDAQ

Description

On a logarithmic scale Google has been going up in a straight line since 2004. And recently testing the trend again. Will it hold this time? Some indicators (could) tell it won't:
- Daily RSI is relatively high, upwards potential is limited
- Weekly RSI is still declining
- A big gap from 2013 around 445 is still open
- Recent trend is downwards

Others could indicate otherwise:
- downwards trend will be broken within a week or two
- upper gap level at 485 has not been broken
- Good results at end of January may change direction

For now I'm expecting short, but I'm awaiting confirmation:
When > 550 or breaking the downwards trend line my target will be 610
When breaking the 2004 uptrend I set my target to the bottom gap level (445).
Comments
play4trade
Probably will see 551 to test support lost then head down to 539ish before taking off en route to 579-582 to the leg start... There is a massive falling wedge...
Xander3
It seems it not going up just yet. I expect to see it test the 2004 trend line (507-504) within a week. Then wait to see if it falls through or rises up again.
For now I'm taking a short position with a stoploss at 537.
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