Maybe it's a that I'm not seeing, but I believe probabilities are best interpreted as a WXY pattern as labeled.
Which implies it is a 2nd X wave down in a larger WXY ( ) pattern depending on how you interpret the Feb lows.
I anticipate the potential for a reversal at the Red Oval 41.21 ending in 5 waves down for leg c of y of X.
My plan is to catch it on the way up if divergence exists, or late on positive reversal first pullback with a Lower Blue descending .
Long trade up into the Green Oval near 46.50.
Initial stop below wherever the c leg terminates near 41.27.
Duration on this is probably into Jan of 2017.