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Options360
Jun 3, 2022 12:27 PM

Fossil fuels / Commodities bubble Short

Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bull 2X SharesArca

Description

Fossil fuels / Commodities bubble is about to pop. I'm starting to look for a bearish reversal within the next 2 weeks. Here's a GUSH 1 day chart with my indicators, pi RSI, tickerTracker, Fibonacci MA7, MTTC2.0 beta, Fibonacci VIP, ATRxxl beta and Volume & PivotsHL.

Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...

*3x lucky 7s of trading*

7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet

7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation

7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list

Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator
tradingview.com/u/growerik/

Comment

Nice drop

Comment

What a great short trade this has been. ✌️

Comment

WTI July down to $112

Comment

GUSH long now bounced off oversold piRsi
Comments
oliverrathbun
What a route.....
Options360
oliverrathbun
Is it hard to get shares on this to short? I shorted CVX for this drop. I think short term low its in. Looking to reposition a short soon. Much more downside ahead I believe.
Options360
@oliverrathbun, naked puts or put spreads easy. But ideal entry timing for the short was around when this was posted a week ago. When all the institutions were lying publicly saying it's time to go long. lol.
oliverrathbun
@growerik, They issue puts on this huh? I bought some July 180 puts on CVX. Not very liquid..... Had a nice move in them but not a lot of activity.
The great thing about this move was it happened before crude had any appreciative decline. Once that market cracks...which is soon to happen I think. There will be some nice gains on the short side.
Options360
@oliverrathbun, there's options contracts for almost every ticker. ✌️
jpolec
GUSH is about to go down, while DUG is about to rise. If all whales are talking about oil > 130-150/bbl, then we will have reversal at least for couple of weeks. Stabilization is going there.
Options360
@jpolec, It's really getting toppy. Maybe perfect timing is next week before Quadruple Witching 6/17 expiry. One never knows exactly but it's really close to the June peak.
Options360
@jpolec, it's looking like yesterday noon was GUSH peak for the time being. But I'm still thinking a retest back up to $257 is possible for it to fall harder faster after that.
jpolec
@growerik, see the VIX, if that will be confirmed by volatility, then the trend can be reversed. Also there is equilibrium for oil price, to make long term returns, and not push into ESG nor shallow delivery in US (which can be up to 1.5-2% of total WW). I bet it's reversed already...
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