What goes up, must come down. While this is not always true in this world, it's much more likely than not that a parabolic movement will eventually see a sharp, then lengthy, dwindling correction before it continues upward. This may seem like a crazy chart, but there are some unavoidable signs that the housing market is slowing down. Some experts are now predicting we may see some recession in 2020. Home Depot
is a leading indicator of the hosuing market dropping off. Looking at the facts, Home Depot
has increased its value 1186% since the market crash in 2009. To assume there will be no correction for this parabolic move will be foolish. The question is, when, and at what price? I think we may be reaching a top, if we have not already around $219. RSI
has been moving bearishly against the price action on the monthly chart and is now in a nuetral/bearish range for the first time in nearly a decade. As of now we are still producing higher highs, but we did show one lower low. I believe if the next upward movement doesn't show a higher high (above $219.30) we might be at the peak and ready for some correction. This could easily bring price all the way down to the .5 FIB of its parabolic movement, or around $118.
Am I suggesting you short Home Depot? Only if you're crazy. I like doing something out of the box once in a while though, so I'm going to play a small bag just for the sake of technical analysis