HOOD Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06

🚀 HOOD Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Bullish (High Momentum + Catalyst)
Timeframe: 5–10 days
Catalyst: S&P 500 inclusion speculation, crypto rally, retail momentum
Trade Type: High-conviction naked call option

🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target(s) Stop Confidence
Grok Strongly Bullish $80 $3.90 +100% -50% 85%
Claude Moderately Bullish $78 $4.67 +50–150% -40% 75%
Llama Moderately Bullish $80 ~$3.85 $5.00+ < $75 or -50% 80%
Gemini Strongly Bullish $80 ~$3.88 $5.00 / $7.00+ < $75 or -50% 70%
DeepSeek Moderately Bearish $70 PUT $1.70 $2.50 / $3.40 > $79.17 or -50% 75%

✅ Consensus: Strong bullish trend supported by technicals and macro catalysts
⚠️ Bearish Divergence: DeepSeek warns of exhaustion risk

📈 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Price Action: Trading above all EMAs; price extended above upper Bollinger Bands

RSI: Extreme overbought across daily timeframes (RSI > 80)

MACD: Strongly positive on all models (15m, daily, weekly)

Sentiment: Positive S&P 500 inclusion buzz, retail FOMO, and crypto tailwinds

VIX: Falling → favorable for long calls

Max Pain: $66 (could cause pull later in expiry week)

✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument HOOD
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $80.00
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $3.90
Profit Target $5.85 (50% gain)
Stop Loss $1.95 (50% loss) or HOOD < $75
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At market open
Confidence 75%

💡 Rationale: Aligns with dominant trend and event-driven momentum. Best R/R with defined risk on extreme FOMO move.

⚠️ Risks & Trade Watchouts
RSI overbought → any market pullback could hit stop quickly

S&P inclusion may trigger “sell the news” reaction

Theta decay risk intensifies late next week

Max pain at $66 could drag prices if momentum fades mid-week