Where We Are Right Now
Price is currently at $39.97, essentially right on the range low/key support zone around $39.50–$40. This is the same level that was held as support twice before (late April and again around May 1). We're testing it a third time right now.
The Critical Level 🔑
$38.73 is your hard floor — the absolute range low marked on the chart. If the price closes a 4H candle below $39, the next stop is $38.70. A clean breakdown below that = bearish continuation with no nearby support until $36–37.
The Bull Case 🐂
Third test of support with sellers losing momentum = classic accumulation/spring setup. If buyers defend $39–40 here and we see a reclaim of $41.50, the range play targets $44–45.77 again. That's a clean 10–15% range trade.
Momentum Read
Sellers have been in control since the $44.50 rejection on May 7. Lower highs are forming on this leg down. Momentum is bearish in the short term, but we're deep in value at range support.
Outlook
Watch the $39 level closely. Hold = range bounce opportunity toward $43–45. Lose it = range breakdown and
Is $38.73 the bottom, or are we about to see a breakdown below range? 👇
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
