iShares Gold Trust Shares of the iShares Gold TrustArca
Description
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I am using the IAU ETF as my trading instrument to represent the Gold spot market. Looking at the Fibonacci retracement starting from the 2016 low of $20.44 and extending to the August 2020 high of $39.14, we see that the top two retracement levels are in play. The 38.2% level tends to be the most common for handy support and resistance levels. We saw price action move freely at both sides of 23.6%, although recently it has acted as resistance.
Soon we could have an opportunity to go long near the 38.2% level, around $31.75. There is some way to go, but gold is falling today in what is so far a very bearish day for equities. Gold can be a good hedge if equities turn sour, especially with a backdrop of rising inflation. Whether inflation is transitory or reason for greater concern remains to be seen. With the FOMC meeting this week, risk is high. Eyes should remain on gold this week.