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4xForecaster
Jun 30, 2015 2:51 AM

$INVN - Bears Weave Wolfe Wave | #NYSE #fibonacci $AAPL Short

Description

Friends,

Re: INVN:
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InvenSense Inc. is the provider of the MotionTracking™ sensor system on chip for consumer electronic devices such as smartphones, tablets, wearables, gaming devices, optical image stabilization, and remote controls for Smart TVs.
(Source: google.com/search?q=INVN&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8 )
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Just released on social media:
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From Twitter/LinkedIn:
INVN remains under bearish pressure; Predictive Model still on track, eyeing 13.23, bulls await at 12.78:



AAPL
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2-day Chart as of this closing (19 JUN 2015)
:



MARKET GEOMETRY:

- WOLFE WAVE:
Price is weaving a nascent 5-point Wolfe Wave geometry ("WW"), with recent lower-high structure likely representing Point-4 of the WW. If this geometry holds, then look for further decline of price to a level along the 1-3 Line.

- THE GEO:
An alternative geometry arises from the "Geo", with "Tunneling" and "Geo Anchor" requirements being met. A decline to the foreground Model-defined targets would allow the Geo to attain a 5-prime or 5-second adverse excursion relative to the WW's 1-3 Line, in which case, the OffSet Rule would apply and this target a reversal to the price level of Point-4, and not the 1-4 Line as the WW would have it (the former representing the highest probability attainment from a 5-prime position, or to the price level corresponding to Point-3 if reversing from a 5-second locus - i.e.: OffSet Rule of the Geo).


PREDICTIVE/FORECASTING MODEL:
Predictive/Forecasting Model defined the following two qualitative targets:

1 - TG-Lo = 13.23 - 21 MAY 2015

and

2 - TG-Lox = 12.78 - 21 MAY 2015

These targets stand at the foreground of the analysis, whereas the aforementioned geometries are supportive visual data that have a high-correlative history with this proprietary model.


OVERALL:

Expect further downside to the level defined by the Predictive/Forecasting Model, further incorporate by the geometries. An additional technical data is offered by the 0.786-Fibonacci contraction, a level that closely aligns with the Model's lowest bearish target ("TG-Lox").

Best,


David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA


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Twitter:
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LinkedIn:
David Alcindor
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Comments
4xForecaster
17 AUG 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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INVN exceeds #fibonacci levels; Predictive Model sees 9.13 as prob. reversal to 16.19 per Geo Off-Set Rule:



AAPL
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David Alcindor
4xForecaster
@itsheng - If price BACA < 9.13, then analysis would need to shift to a higher TF - David
itsheng
Thanks for the update!
4xForecaster
09 JUL 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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INVN hit all bearish targets; Mulls high-prob retrace to 16.19 per Geo's Off-Set Rule:



AAPL #invensense
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David Alcindor
itsheng
Good morning David! The lowest price last week almost hit the 5'' line. Did it change the GEO target? With the new low, can the EW point 3 in your chart be considered as point 1 and the new low as probable point 3 in a slightly larger WW? Thanks!

Regards,
Sheng
4xForecaster
06 JUL 2015 - UPDATE:

From Twitter/LinkedIn:
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INVN precipitates towards Predictive/Forecasting Model's bearish target; Nears geometry completion:



AAPL
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David Alcindor
itsheng
Today's low is 13.28!
iefan
26 July 2015

INVN

David is there a larger Geo/WW at play here? Kind regards Iefan
4xForecaster
@iefan - Yes, indeed, this larger Geo can definitely encompass it all at once, keeping the Point-5 as is, and remaining true to the original target:





David Alcindor
4xForecaster
31 JUL 2016 -Addendum:

Note that the Geo construction remains true as well:

1 - 1-2 Leg is a larger reciprocal ab = cd symmetry;
2 - 2-3 Leg represents a complex ZZ in the original rule, but in this particular case, the complexity is maintained in an EW impulse;
3 - 3-4 Leg engaged in a simpler ZZ formation.

It is not a rigid rule, but one to keep in mind when preempting the structural definition of the Geo.


David
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