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Gpap90
Jun 1, 2022 5:36 AM

Nobody saw that coming Long

US Composite IndexTVC

Description

In the coming months, I expect the following catalysts
1. Oil coming down, already there are discussions about removing Russia from OPEC
2. 10 Yr coming down, currently forming an H&S
3. FED adopt a more conservative strategy for interest rates going into 2023
4. Massive short squeeze on tech, High short interest rate there!
5. Rotation from oil to tech

45% are comparing this to .com and the other 45% to 08. Guess what the market likes to do...

This is not investment advice, do your own research!!!

Look First / Then Leap

Comment

I would like to add
1. Biden discussing removal of China tariffs
2. Dry Baltic Index coming down
3. Container rates also coming down
4. Huge inventory stock for big retailers in the US
Comments
RobBiddle
More conservative FED strategy? Even with the 75bp hike today the Fed hasn't been nearly aggressive enough given how far they are behind the curve.
You think removing Russia from OPEC would result in lower Oil prices? Please explain.

I agree short squeezes are going to happen, that's where bear market rallies are born.
Supply chain issues will begin to resolve, although issues surrounding Russian Oil has created a whole new set of supply chain issues related to shipping chaos and those aren't going away anytime soon, and really haven't even been fully realized yet in terms of pricing impacts.
Darth_Wader
0 % chance of happening
Gpap90
@Darth_Wader, there is no 0% in the markets!
Subha1991
What's the data point of 45% +45% claiming 00 or 08? Nobody is doing that. I feel it's just 5% and 5%.
Midyanyy
I see this similar - if all the negativity is gone from the press / web, we could see a huge rally till EOY / Q1 2023
Subha1991
@Midyanyy, Only thing finishes 52W high is Inflation and FED rates. Also VIX.
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