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chiefwils0n
Feb 21, 2021 4:35 PM

Bullish Flag. Watch for breakout. Tgts: $70, $75 Long

Jumia Technologies AGNYSE

Description

Greetings Investors and Traders,

I'm bullish JMIA based on the following:

Bullish Factors

1. Bullish flag pattern formed on the daily chart. Watch for a channel breakout, with volume confirming the move. If valid, target resistance around $70.
2. Rounding top formed pattern formed on the daily chart.

Strategy

1. Consider the 16 Apr 60C, 65C, or 70C.

Happy Trading!

Disclaimer. My ideas are for informational purposes only. My ideas do not constitute solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments. You should not construe any such information or other comments as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, options and money market funds involve risk of loss.  Loss of principal is possible. Please exercise your own due diligence.

Comment

JMIA is headed toward a 38% retrace at $48, which is the average (mean) price of JMIA within the last 200 days, indicated by the dotted red line shown in the chart below. JMIA could retrace further, all the way to 61% ($35) and still be considered a bullish trend. Any price below the red dotted line represents a good entry, if you remain bullish on the stock.

Comments
Tim_yang98
What about earnings?
chiefwils0n
@Tim_yang98, hi. I'm not sure how earnings might affect this asset. We'll know soon ;).
bigtradessean
My thoughts exactly, nice chart! Today seems like a great entry.

Semi new to investing here, question for you. The options expiration would you predict is a good thing creating a jump of upward movement? Or too hard to tell? What is your take on that?

Thx Cheif @chiefwils0n
chiefwils0n
@bigtradessean, hi. Thanks. I select options based on directional movement of the stock. If the stock moves in the direction of the options (down for PUTs, up for CALLs), then the option premium should appreciate along side the stock. It’s the classic “BUY LOW, SELL HIGH” principle. I hope this helps ;)
sravanreddy001
Nice analysis - Agree with Long & Flag.
Can you explain little about the rounding top being bullish factor? - I searched but, only came across bearish references to rounding top.
chiefwils0n
@sravanreddy001, hi there. Here’s my source: thepatternsite.com/roundingtop.html . The rounding top pattern performs well for either upward or downward breakouts from a bullish trend. So, while it could break to the downside, I’m speculating that JMIA will break this pattern to the upside. I plotted the descending channel as a breakout detector. I hope this helps ;)
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