Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X SharesArca
Description
⋅
2 hours chart
As my data changes, I will update posts and charts as early as possible.
Is anyone not confident that we go up?
I believe we had our bottom today and a nice reversal. Gold should follow soon. I believe that we are going to get some economic data in our favor either tomorrow, but most likely Friday, that will launch this thing. I am looking at reaching $16 by Friday. That would affectively close that gap that was made yesterday and put us back into the blue wedge. It also looks like we may stay inside the blue wedge for the next 2 - 3 weeks until we break down hard again. But I digress. Back to the short term. I believe that the economic data will be bad enough to propel Jnug and gold up. That momentum will carry us through to the upside until at least Wednesday morning for the JOLTS reports. SO I have a target of approximately 21.50ish for a top by mid next week. So for those of us that bought Jnug today or yesterday, you could have a 100% gainer on your hands. Not bad. A gift set up by our big money bank robbers.
When we do break down from that wedge, I cannot begin to predict where it might bottom. I have a hard time believing that we make a new deeper bottom, but then again, if we are left translated as it appears we will be, then that is possible. Too early to tell. However, the blue trading channel appears to be our course for October into November. If anything changes then I will update.
Then if the head and shoulders pattern is in fact going to play out, then it makes sense that we turn sideway for mid November and early December to complete the shoulder. We will see. If we are going to create a H&S pattern then it makes sense that we do not break the neckline which we came very close to hitting today. So late October early November could bounce off that neckline instead of the channel bottom. Just something to think about and be prepared for.
Hope this helps.
Comment
⋅
Also I just learned that our suspicions were correct. If you guys google "king world news" and look up "whistle blower Andrew Maguire". It should pull up the article about how this takedown in gold was manufactures to coincide with China's Week long holiday so that western big banks and big money can cover their massive short positions. They are thieves. So that is why I held my jnug. I know it will roar back, especially when China starts trading on Sunday night and Monday.
Comment
⋅
Daily Chart
So I zoomed out a little to get a better perspective. Couple things I would like to address. 1st - After breaking the blue channel today, I wondered....HMMMM WTF!? So I copied the black broken pattern resistance line at the top and pasted it to todays bottom to see how it would fit. Perfect fit. Just when I think I've got a trading channel they (their Algorithm's) can tweak it. And this does not mean that we will stay in this channel. However, it is possible that we hit the top of it by next week. So I am counting on the numbers tomorrow to be bad and for this to gap up. The biggest that I have found Jnug to gap up was 6/02 (2 hr Chart) approx. $2.15. More likely though it will gap between $1 and $1.50.
2nd - I was just curious, about a head and shoulders pattern so I drew it out. Also, If you notice the long Purple line coming down from the top left. It is almost perfectly identical to the black uptrend line going the opposite direction. Just something to keep in mind. None of this has to happen.
3rd - If you change over to the weekly, the Ichimoku Cloud suggests further weakness ahead. Does not mean we cant bounce.
The way I see it, its a pretty clear win-win situation.
We KNOW there is action coming up... either we recover and JNUG goes back up or JNUG goes into free-fall and JDST goes up.
Logically: See which way we move and either double down on JNUG or JDST - one will go up and will go up hard!
My money is on JDST by Monday - I lived in China for years... they really do like gold A LOT. I forsee 20's within a week!
VirtualFax
⋅
Just messing around with chart which is very similar to yours but more simplistic:
VirtualFax
⋅
I wish I could give you my another thumb up but the site only allows one per post : )
VirtualFax
⋅
I've never heard about this Maguire guy before so I don't know how trustworthy he is but what he says seem to make sense. He even called on Oct 4 the $1,250 low (same low target I had based on the pre-Brexit level).
The only thing that puzzled me is his Fib 0.618 retracement price of $1,267.20. According to my estimate below, measured between $1,046.54 lowest low and $1,3754.15 highest high for the recent bull run, that price sits at $1,249.62. That's two mere cents away from today's low of $1,249.60 so far!
VirtualFax
⋅
I guess we now need to request from the site management another button for the tools panel on the left hand side. Have placing it just below the Economic Calendar button (or maybe even above) and call it Chinese Holidays Calendar ; )
gaosi1985
⋅
JNUG not doing so well :(
SalN
⋅
It will recover just fine
gaosi1985
⋅
I'll keep all my fingers and toes crossed!
VirtualFax
⋅
If you had a chance to read one of my comments in another SalN's post, I indicated there that I expected JNUG to fall to around $9.61 level. And, same as SalN, I anticipate it to recover. As long as Gold holds and closes above $1,250-ish today and tomorrow there shouldn't be much further downside for JNUG.
And, aside from charts, indicators also show that both Gold and miners are in the oversold territory.
We could even potentially have one of those skyrocket Fridays tomorrow after the morning volatility around the NFP. Another option could be hungry for cheap Gold Chinese market participants getting back online on Monday as SalN mentioned earlier.
However, having said all that, keep in mind that this is market and nothing is impossible. It's all the game of probabilities.
We KNOW there is action coming up... either we recover and JNUG goes back up or JNUG goes into free-fall and JDST goes up.
Logically: See which way we move and either double down on JNUG or JDST - one will go up and will go up hard!
My money is on JDST by Monday - I lived in China for years... they really do like gold A LOT. I forsee 20's within a week!