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IvanLabrie
Apr 2, 2016 12:28 PM

JPYUSD: Long yen, deleveraging in the background Long

Japanese Yen/US DollarICE

Description

In this chart I analyze the currently active signals in the JPYUSD chart, as an alternative way of approaching USDJPY to prevent biases.
I'm seeing an active 2 week trend, which has until June 27th to complete, but also if you dial down to the 3 day chart, you can see a valid uptrend signal emerging from the recent 'impulsive' leg to the upside.

I'm interested in going long the yen in this zone, and aim ideally, for a retest of the dowtrend mode near 0.009875.
The time at mode signals, tell me price could stop at 0.009256 or 0.009489, so, take heed of these particular levels, for either a retracement or reversal of this trend.
I'd expect the equities to correct the recent advance, in the wake of this yen uptrend continuation, as risk off sentiment takes over once more.

The trade: Go long JPYUSD, or short USDJPY, ideally on a retracement, but if not, you can take it at market price and keep stops 1.2%+ away from this week's close.
Target a 3 to 10% distance from entry, approximately. Holding time, or ETA to reach the targets is before June 27th.

Good luck if taking the trades.
Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.

Comment



Monthly view of USDJPY. The time at mode target predicted the top (minimal margin of error).

There's a monthly RgExp target at 102.517 that has to be hit during May to confirm the downtrend's strength.

3 day chart:

Trade active

Comment

Above 0.009092, nothing's stopping the rally.

Comment

We're approaching the 'nothing's stopping this rally' mark, watch closely.

Comment

Target 1 hit, I'm following this one closely in my other publication.

Comment

The blue box which was resistance is now support. Let's see if it goes for target #2 and #3.

Comment

Back on track.

Comment

Long after retesting low volume support.

Trade closed: target reached

Comments
aibek
Hola amigo! Nice chart! See the same targets in EW.
moneymaking
No retracement, that hurts :(
IvanLabrie
Exactly, these trades rarely give an entry when they work.
I'd rather jump in as it moves, then maybe add on retrace if it happens.
moneymaking
Yeah, will see about that. Thanks :)
moneymaking
Hey mate, I was wondering based on your analysis do you see any type of deep pull-back happening in usdjpy, to enter into a short position with good risk to reward?
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