Ronin_trader

JWN Bearish inclined naked calls 14 Oct expiry

Short
NYSE:JWN   Nordstrom, Inc.
Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought
  • JWN seems like a good candidate to sell calls especially since they had a huge 16% gap down after their earnings on the 16 Aug
  • My hypothesis is that there will be a continued bearish price movement below S&R 19.26. Encouraged by the broader market movement and retail’s tightening
  • Despite the Fed’s action, the latest reports still see a rising CPI and Core inflation numbers. If the effects are not yet felt by the consumers this will catch up soon
  • JWN has a S&R line on 19.26 and so far it seems to be holding out

    Risk Mitigation
  • 21.72 is a Trade Risk Point where the recent gap would be filled and a full reversal is confirmed
  • 19.26 is an S&R line and if it holds out it confirms the new bearish price direction

    Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
  • With the huge 17% bearish gap, I don’t think it is a good risk to be bullish on this stock. Especially with the bear market stance

    Look For New Information
  • No new information

    How Do I Feel Now
  • I would have preferred to sell at the strike of 23 but the price provided was not conducive. I bought this at 22.5 as if my hypothesis of a continued bearish price direction at S&R 19.26 holds, we should be ok.

    Trade Specs
  • Sold 410 Calls @ 0.15
  • Strike: 22.5
  • % to Strike: 22.73%
  • BP Used: 77k
  • Max Gain: 6150
Trade closed: target reached
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