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vlad.adrian
Apr 15, 2014 10:51 PM

Coffee - Short on a double top Short

Description

On the previous chart of coffee that I posted, I expected a further upmove, but it didn't happen, as there is a double top formed at 200$.

I went back 20 years and roughly checked for diverging double top formations and this pattern has a great reliability. By a fast eye appreciation, I would say 90% accuracy.

There are class B bearish divergences on both oscillators, confirming the double top.

I hope the volume that appears right now, 9.837k is an error, cause comparing with previous days, it is way too small for an engulfing candle with a 15$ range.

First good support is the double top neckline at 165-180 and further down 130-140.

I can't actually trade coffee, cause the contract my broker offers is too big for me. This is a paper trade.
Comments
vlad.adrian
Update here

Ideea still stands
LEONES
looks good to sell soon to me
vlad.adrian
Yep, allthough these false breakouts are really annoying, they usually make the setup stronger.
LEONES
today bar it's a bit tricky..strong
colened
The "double top" has the same structure as a bat pattern
LEONES
YES I AGREE LOOKS LIKE A DOUBLE TOP!
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