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Nemo_Confidat
Aug 30, 2020 3:58 AM

LONG KC (Coffee) here to 160 by Dec. (73 days) Long

Coffee C FuturesICEUS

Description

3 separate (Bearish Bat + Gartley) PRZs line up @160!
With the Real strengthening but also, option volatility rather expensive @ 41%...
... we have bought up the Dec. 2020, 140-160 CALL Spreads for $1095 a pop.
We are expecting Coffee to finish the year >160.00, for a 1:7.3 R/R on this trade - i.e. $7500 / contract.
Good luck out there!

Comment

Trade active

Massive LONG

Target: 160.00

Comment

BUY everything in sight - (March) options, etc!!

Comment


Buy it up!!

Trade closed: target reached

FLAT; +14.00

Trade active

SHORT

This one is topped out. Headed for under a buck - <100.00.

Comment

Yesterday's price action cleared this picture significantly

Now, this is the most likely scenario hence, will be looking for SHORT Entries ~130.00.

Order cancelled

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Comments
foaraman
i bought the turning point now :D
In my opinion the most important thing to discuss will be the weather phenomenon "la nina" this year
Nemo_Confidat
@foaraman, Good buy! The most important thing is the Gold / Real Ratio, more often than not. Reason: 37 bags of excess supply out there! That's a lot, even if multiple crops failed.
foaraman
37 bags? explain me more pls
Nemo_Confidat
@foaraman, Sorry, 37 MILLION bags, excess! :-)
foaraman
@IanSinclaire, all my research i did says 5 million bags, excess....hmm strange difference
Nemo_Confidat
@foaraman, I know where your +5 Mill excess comes from. - It is not wrong, it just discounts a lot of the old stuff. Main thing here, this is a USD/Real/Gold trade, more than anything else!
syrlr
beautiful chart! looks like geometric 3D art.
beautiful color coordination, strong contrast of black and white candlesticks with red and green moving average lines floating..
coffee is going up, of course... :)
Nemo_Confidat
@syrlr, Glad you like.
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