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AlexanderGotay
Jun 30, 2017 4:28 PM

58% probability trade on KRE (Strangle) 

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETFArca

Description

Neutral trade on KRE to try and take advantage of what I think it would be two sided action between buyers and sellers. With a Implied Volatility Rank of 33, is still decent to sell a Strangle (53/57).

We make money as long as the price stays between 58.77 and 51.23 in the next 49 days, so we have a buffer of around 7% up or down. This gives us a probability of profit of 58% at expiration, and 77% if we manage early (which is always the plan).

The trade:

Sell AUG18 53 PUT
Sell AUG18 57 CALL

Sold it for $1.75 per contract

Trade closed: target reached

Comments
Benji
Hot damn, that couldn't have worked out any better.
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