ricomister

LDO Long-Term and Short-Term Trading Opportunity 1

Long
ricomister Updated   
MIL:LDO   LEONARDO
expect LDO to increase in value to around 7.25+- Euro in 1 month+-, expect LDO to increase in value to around 11.50+- in a year or so

I have opened a position at 6.19(got in early today), position size is 5000 shares.

I have set up 2 take profits, one at 7.00-7.25+- for 3000 shares, the other one is a short-term investing goal of around 11.50+- per share take profit.

Stop Loss is around 4.00+- (will be adjusted accordingly, this is just a rough stop loss).

The company share value is very undervalued, and it is showing that earnings are returning or that the state of the company is becoming a bit more stabler than when the coronavirus crash occurred, the share price is somewhat recovering, so its not just cheap in my eyes, it also looks like the company itself is recovering somewhat, I expect next earnings release to be positive or even if it is a negative surprise, to be in the positive at least, I expect the company to re-introduce dividends soon, don't know how soon, but lets say max a year, when this happens share price should surge upward...

Don't know much about fundamentals but what I do know is that the debt situation is still under control for this company, debt to equity still does not look that much worse than before the coronavirus situation, this company is also somewhat funded and backed by the government and I believe it is dealing in products and services that will stay in demand in the next 10 years etc.

I don't see order & security slacking in the future, I expect it to increase in demand&usage, both individual organizations, and governments will require it more on both domestic fronts (police etc.) and international fronts (military)

Naturally, with more people, more demand, less supply, there will be more chaos, and then one would think the demand for order and security(defense) will increase.

The technicals point out for me that if the price continues to go down from here, it might go to the low 5's, but in the longer-term it seems very likely to recover to 7/8 at least.|

I am actually allocating around 50% of the amount I want to allocate in case a correction next year pushes the share price even lower so that I can look at other opportunities without needing to close this position.
Comment:
adjusted stop loss to 6.420
Comment:
Earnings came out as expected, net profit down 20% though compared to the previous year, but revenue up compared to previous year.

growth on the military/defense-sector revenue stream, but still slacked&weakened revenue stream from Boeing, but:

"Boeing shares have been beaten down for several years, first due to issues with the 737 Max, and then due to the pandemic. The stock got an upgrade on Wednesday based on the theory that the worst of the pandemic's impact on passenger airlines is now behind us."

I am still bullish and have decided to purchase an additional 1000 shares... under 6.6 Euro, between 6.5-6.6
Comment:
adjusted stop loss to 5.00,

bought an additional 4000 shares (not 1000 as mentioned above) for 5.4 EURO average

adjusted short-term take profit to 6.75/6.7 EURO for 6000 shares.

long-term take profit remains the same, however, adjusted the amount of shares I will sell at 11-11.5+- from 2000 to 3000 shares.
Comment:
bought an additional 4000 shares, adjusted short-term take profit to 6.65 and the amount of shares that will be sold to 8000.

Short-Term take profit reached, sold 8000 shares at 6.65, $1700+-(profit it seems is shown in Euro not Dollar)

Proof:
drive.google.co...-cWhklM2kC/view?usp=sharin...
Comment:
sold my remaining 2000/3000 shares at 6.48 yesterday before the drop to 6.1+-, looking to re-buy
Comment:
bought 5000 shares at 6.18, will sell 3000 shares at 6.45-6.55+-
Comment:
bought 10000 shares at 6.19, will sell 10000-12500 shares at 6.45-6.550+-
Comment:
a acquisition of one part of the company is in play, 2 main offers

talks about the company being acquired or split up into different companies

might be able to haul a good profit when that happens...

and keep some left over
Comment:
Boeing faulty parts issue apparently has nothing to do with LDO, it was the supplier providing faulty or incorrect materials, LDO involved in a lawsuit as a victim, not perpetrator... (maybe they can be reimbursed etc.)

March 2020 lockdowns are unlikely to occur again, the worst is most likely still behind us now
Comment:
sold 13000 shares at 6.344, profit was $2200+-

keeping 2000 shares in play for long term...

Proof:
drive.google.co...CWdagFPAFk/view?usp=sharin...
Trade closed: stop reached
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