After an astronomical gym session, I am now happy to review Chainlink to you!
Due to a negative macro outlook short-term, Altcoins and Bitcoin dropped in the beginning of the week and will be dropping further throughout the week.
Looking at the structure I am considering the current movement to be part of a larger correction of the supercycle wave 2, were we are internally at the wave c on the cycle and in the fifth wave in the primary cycle. For now we technically reached the first price target for short fifth waves, but since I expect Ethereum to also go down I believe we are gonna drop to the 0.382 extension level of the fifth wave, at $11.57.
On the way there we are going to fill a lot of orders as the orderbook shows a lot of them, also at the price target. As we go down I do not recommend opening short positions because a lot of people will call Altcoins and the Alt-Season dead, leading to a lot of shorts and a gradually increasing chance of short-squeezes. The bottom could be in if funding rates on the daily turn negative, and RSI enters oversold areas on the 2 week chart.
This thesis also gets supported by the VIX, which is rising and therefore indicates a risk off sentiment and the USDT dominance chart as it rises also and gets near the top.
I urgently need to point out that at this point an ending of the downtrend gets more possible the lower we fall. Buying here is a great opportunity and the lower we get the more the effect of dollar cost averaging comes into play.
Due to a negative macro outlook short-term, Altcoins and Bitcoin dropped in the beginning of the week and will be dropping further throughout the week.
Looking at the structure I am considering the current movement to be part of a larger correction of the supercycle wave 2, were we are internally at the wave c on the cycle and in the fifth wave in the primary cycle. For now we technically reached the first price target for short fifth waves, but since I expect Ethereum to also go down I believe we are gonna drop to the 0.382 extension level of the fifth wave, at $11.57.
On the way there we are going to fill a lot of orders as the orderbook shows a lot of them, also at the price target. As we go down I do not recommend opening short positions because a lot of people will call Altcoins and the Alt-Season dead, leading to a lot of shorts and a gradually increasing chance of short-squeezes. The bottom could be in if funding rates on the daily turn negative, and RSI enters oversold areas on the 2 week chart.
This thesis also gets supported by the VIX, which is rising and therefore indicates a risk off sentiment and the USDT dominance chart as it rises also and gets near the top.
I urgently need to point out that at this point an ending of the downtrend gets more possible the lower we fall. Buying here is a great opportunity and the lower we get the more the effect of dollar cost averaging comes into play.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.