Watch for LTC/BTC Equilibrium Pattern to Break Bullish

BITSTAMP:LTCBTC   Litecoin / Bitcoin
LTC/ BTC is currently trading in a 4hr equilibrium channel. It's been ranged bound for the last 2 days and I am looking for the pattern to break within the next 2 days. Generally speaking an equilibrium pattern such as this is neutral to me but I believe there's a higher probability of a fakeout if it breaks down for the following reasons. (Hence I am going long here)

1.) LTC/ BTC is trading near a multi-year low
2.) If we zoom out to the weekly we can see that LTC/ BTC has been making lower highs and lower low since 2018. However, the latest weekly candle seems to suggest that it might be the beginning of a higher lower formation, which would be a very significant long-term trend reversal.
3.) The high volume of the latest weekly red candle also increases the probability that this might be final flush candle where weak hands sells out.
4.) The weekly BTC /USDT is more over extended compared to the LTC/USDT given the significance of Bitcoin's runup compared to Litecoin over the last 3 months.

With that said, the chart can very well break down and go lower as well. Especially if we see Bitcoin continues the freefall we saw this week as history shows that alts tend to take a bigger hit when Bitcoin crashes. For that reason, it's important to put a stop loss as this is anything but a sure thing. Especially in crypto land.

I am looking for at least a 15- 25% gain here if we break to the upside. Placing stop close by for a maximum loss of ~2.5%.

Trade closed: stop reached: Trade closed. Stop Loss hit taking a small loss. Though I would be inclined to take the trade again with a tight stop if it comes down more.


I think you should be keeping a lower SL. On the fundamental side, there is an airdrop announcement this week and Grayscale have started accumulating LTC again just today. Pretty sure we've bottomed out.
+2 Reply
vicious_almighty AccumulateMoreBits
@AccumulateMoreBits, ouff, I never clicked confirm on my sl, not used to the interface I'm now using. Expensive lesson lol, suppose I'll keep a close eye on any short jumps and dump them then.
AccumulateMoreBits vicious_almighty
@vicious_almighty, I think you misunderstood me? LTC should keep moving up from here, no reason to dump :)
vicious_almighty AccumulateMoreBits
@AccumulateMoreBits, hey, so what I meant was that I don't believe we'll see a longstanding upswing in the coming week. So, I'd rather dump at a decent price if we can get to the 0.004 range again, and then buy-in when we start moving.
vicious_almighty AccumulateMoreBits
@AccumulateMoreBits, Although, curious to know about this airdrop, I'll be googling!
Can you explain me why not purchasing LTC at a first place ? why investing at LTC/BTC instead ?
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