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lightknight
Aug 23, 2020 1:25 AM

LTCETH - REVERSAL Long

Litecoin / EthereumBittrex

Description

LTCETH Expected to Reverse and Outperform Ethereum

Price has been trading in a downward channel for the past months and is approaching the long term support where price has rebounded before multiple times

Technicals:

  • MACD on the daily is bearish, so may need a few days to reverse but weekly and monthly histograms are about to turn green (weekly) or reverse (monthly).
  • Stoch RSI shows oversold and is about to turn upwards in the next few days/+- 2weeks
  • Reversal Hammer weekly candle formed 10 Aug


Wait for a bounce from long term support and break in the downward channel to confirm a reversal

Comment

In 1-2 weeks, I predict that the ratio will hit long-term support. Wait for the bounce off support. If the ratio bounces with good vol, then LTC growth will outpace ETH growth over BTC over the next 1-3 months. If the ratio falls below support, I expect a long-wick bullish candle to form.

Comment

- Ratio has broken out of the long-term channel.
- Monthly MACD and RSI indicate that a reversal is coming
- Wait for monthly candle and an increase in volume
- LTC/ETH ratio may bounce between the current level and the 0.165 resistance
- Expected time frame to swing and outperform ETH = 3-4 months (Feb-Mar)

Comment

LTC/ETH ratio broke through the horizontal zone and is resting on the upper support line of the descending channel which also happens to be in line with the June 2017 wick. Wait for the ratio to rebound. If no rebound occurs in the short-term, expect LTC/ETH to continue falling while touching the upper line of the channel.

A new chart with a longer timeframe of data can be found below:

Comments
BuyGanyo
Thanks
Any update?
lightknight
Hey @BuyGanyo,

I have a more long term chart with a longer set of data here:



From what I can see is that the ratio has hit the channel and June 2017 wick support. We will have to wait and see if a bounce from the channel will occur, otherwise, the above-linked idea is more indicative that ETH will continue to outperform LTC short term for 1-3 months before the ratio rebounds. In the long term, LTC will out-perform ETH. ETH has unlimited circulation whereas LTC has a fixed marketcap and limited circulating supply.

Shout if this helps.
BuyGanyo
@lightknight, thanks again for the update
lightknight
@BuyGanyo, pleasure
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